December 19, 2018
No.116

November 2018
(Back Issues Here)

November 2018 rains were 2.89 inches at the Palmira Station.  The reports from around the District of Boquete for November 2018 are in the following table:

Rainfall for November 2018
Area
Contributors
November
Total 2018
El Santuario
Terry Zach
2.63
80.79
Jaramillo Arriba
Steve Sarner
6.55
117.26
Jaramillo Abajo
Don Berkowitz
10.90
n/a
Jaramillo Abajo
Bobi McGann
9.56
125.55
El Salto Arriba
Rodrigo Marciacq
2.52
79.85
Brisas  Boquetenas
Austin Perry
12.60
n/a
Brisas Boquetenas Richard Sturtz 14.21 85.53
Los Molinos
Sela Burkholder
15.38
160.95
Los Molinos Fred Donelson 12.77 n/a
Santa Lucia
Paula Litt
4.09
n/a
Lucero (Cielo Paraiso)
Michael Mullin
32.58 Oct & Nov
152.58
Cerro Verde Charlotte Lintz 1.73 n/a
Boquete Country Club Paul Arrandale 4.60 n/a
Palmira Abajo
Betty Gray
4.06
114.77
Palmira Arriba
Lloyd Cripe
2.89
109.06
n/a = not currently available but will be posted when available

Thanks again to all the volunteer rain fall data collectors.  We really appreciate it and it is helping us to better understand micro rain climates in the Boquete District.

The monthly rainfall at our Palmira Arriba station was 2.89 inches.  This is low compared to November totals for the last 11 years.  The mean for Novembers for 11 years has been 11.98 inches with a Standard Deviation of 7.73 inches.  The range has been between a low of 2.72 inches (2012) and a high of 24.11 inches (2015).  You can look at the monthly details over the last 11 years at this link.  Our 2.89 inches for November is minus 1.18 standard deviations below the mean.

The highest rainfall for the month was at Los Molinos with 15.38 inches as reported by Sela Burkholder.  The lowest reported rainfall for the month of October was in Cerro Verde with 1.73 inches reported by Charlotte Lintz.  

The latest ENSO Cycle Report is now saying that "El Niño is expected to form and continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2018-19 (~90% chance) and through spring (~60% chance)."

To learn more about El Niño, this is a link to a web site that will help you to better understand the phenomenon and its effects on our climate and weather.

The IRI (International Research Institute for Climate and Society) (select South America from the Region menu) is reporting the following precipitation predictions for January-February-March of 2019. Note a probability prediction of below normal precipitation for most of Panama (yellow to brown).

December 2018

ETESA's, hydrology and meteorology section is predicting that Chiriqui will have below normal levels of precipitation in December of 2018. You can read their report and check out the details for November 2018 in the "documents" section at this link.

The dry season is upon us.  Low rainfall in November and in December we are getting lots of sun and the winds have begun.  If things progress as usual, we may get some debris mist (Bajareque) from the Caribbean but probably few if any rain showers or storms.

I apologize for being so tardy with the report at the end of November.  We have been super busy with coffee harvest and building an 80 foot radio tower for better internet reception.  We are still up to our elbows with coffee picking and drying but the tower is up and the new internet radio connection is now running.  One of these days, I will tell you the story...

Hopefully you will have a nice Christmas without it being white and cold.  Think how lucky we are that we aren't wrestling with slick roads, snow banks and teeth chattering temperatures.  Put your umbrellas away, grab a drink and tune into Leon Redbone singing Christmas Island....Think about those poor souls up north fighting cold weather and politicians...Life is good in Paradise.

Lloyd Cripe

lcripe@boqueteweather.com


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