October 06, 2018
No.114

September 2018
(Back Issues Here)

September 2018 gave us 16.15 inches of rain at the Palmira Station.  The reports from around the District of Boquete for September 2018 are in the following table:

Rainfall for September 2018
Area
Contributors
September
Total 2018
El Santuario
Terry Zach
8.60
67.39
Jaramillo Arriba
Steve Sarner
15.68
89.57
Jaramillo Abajo
Don Berkowitz
23.02
n/a
Jaramillo Abajo
Bobi McGann
21.19
95.69
El Salto Arriba
Rodrigo Marciacq
10.83
60.98
Brisas  Boquetenas
Austin Perry
20.45
n/a
Brisas Boquetenas Richard Sturtz n/a n/a
Los Molinos
Sela Burkholder
28.88
124.04
Los Molinos Fred Donelson 24.40 n/a
Santa Lucia
Paula Litt
n/a
n/a
Lucero (Cielo Paraiso)
Michael Mullin
33.07
120.00
Cerro Verde Charlotte Lintz 9.55 n/a
Boquete Country Club Paul Arrandale 16.21 n/a
Palmira Abajo
Betty Gray
18.47
89.87
Palmira Arriba
Lloyd Cripe
16.15
84.86
n/a = not currently available but will be posted when available

Thanks again to all the volunteer rain fall data collectors.  We really appreciate it and it is helping us to better understand micro rain climates in the Boquete District.

The monthly rainfall at our place of 16.15 inches was somewhat low but within normal ranges compared to September totals for the last 11 years.  The mean for Septembers is 22.04 inches with a Standard Deviation of 11.28 inches.  The range has been between a low of 9.30 inches and a high of 46.00 inches.  You can look at the monthly details over the last 11 years at this link.

The highest rainfall for the month was Lucero with 33.07 reported by Michael Mullin.  The lowest rainfall for the month of August was in the El Santuario area with Terry reporting only 8.60 inches. 

The latest ENSO Cycle Report is now saying that "There is a 50-55% chance of El Niño onset during the Northern Hemisphere fall 2018 (September-November), increasing to 65-70% during winter 2018-19."

If you want to learn more about El Niño, this is a link to a web site to better understand the phenomenon and its effects on our climate and weather.

The IRI (International Research Institute for Climate and Society) (select South America from the Region menu) is reporting the following precipitation predictions for October-November-December of 2018. Note a probability prediction of below normal precipitation for parts of Panama (yellow) but not all of Panama is reported.

October 2018 

ETESA's, hydrology and meteorology section is predicting that Chiriqui will have a mix of levels of precipitation in October of 2018. You can read their report and check out the details for October 2018 in the "documents" section at this link.

We are into the 6th day of October and so far we are getting significant rain.  10.04 inches have already fallen for the month.  Yesterday we had over 5 inches of rain mainly over the course of the afternoon.  This looks like October will again be our rainiest month as it often is during the rainy season.  The nights have been quite cold.  Last night at 03:15 a.m. on October 6, our temperature dropped down to 48.8 degrees F.  This is the coldest temperature we have ever recorded since 2007 to the present at our Palmira Arriba Station.  Our previous recorded low was 50.7.  Feels quite cold to us.  In the evening we turn on our gas heating stove located in the living room to take off the chill.  It is just too cold to sit in temperatures below 60 unless you want to put on your parkas (which you probably left up north).

If you are adverse to rain and cold, it is a good idea to plan a vacation and leave Paradise during the month of October.  Things will start improving during November and December.  It won't be long until we will be complaining of too dry and windy!

Aren't you glad that you hung on to those umbrellas?  They are getting plenty of use now.

Lloyd Cripe

lcripe@boqueteweather.com


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