October 11, 2025
No.198

September 2025
(Back Issues Here)

Just returned from a 24 day trip to Florence, Italy so the report is a little late but here is September's weather update. 

We had 14.16 inches of rain at the Palmira Arriba Station during the month of September 2025.

Rainfall for September 2025
Area
Contributors
September 2025
Total 2025
El Salto Arriba Beth Corwin 10.77 69.16
Bajo Lino Rodrigo Marciacq 8.76 n/a
Los Cabazos Don Hughes 11.71 65.85
Jaramillo Arriba
Steve Sarner
21.60 113.66
Jaramillo Arriba Mark Heyer 29.24 n/a
Jaramilla Alto Steve White 20.28 115.53
Jaramillo Central Colleen Anderson 12.80 63.40
Jaramillo Abajo
John McGann
20.55 112.14
Palo Alto Nancy Pettersen 8.49 80.69
Valle Escondido Gisela Remsen 12.23 66.54
Brisas  Boquetenas Dennis Decorte 48.48 n/a
Brisas Boquetenas Richard Sturz 58.65 n/a
El Encanto (Volcancito) Brian Baldwin 13.44 78.28
Cerro Verde (Volcancito)
Charlotte Lintz
9.09 60.82
Caldera Chris McCall 27.95 129.60
Lucero Mike Joy 29.34 159.46
Palmira Abajo Dave Nichols 24.82 122.57
Palmira Arriba
Lloyd Cripe
14.16 95.18
N/A = Not Available
Red = Highest rainfalls
Green = Lowest rainfall

Checking the past data from the Palmira Arriba Station over a span of 19 years, the average rainfall for the months of September is 21.02 inches.  The range is a low of 9.30 inches to a high of 46.00 inches. This month's 14.16 inches is -0.75 standard deviations below the mean compared to the means for September.  So we had less rain in September than we normally expect but still within a normal statistical range.

Palmira Arriba Station Average September Rainfalls over 19 Years

September for 19 years

At the Palmira Arriba Station we had 23 days with measureable precipitation and 7 days without. 

The table above with the rainfall in various parts of the district of Boquete for September shows levels from 8 to 58+ inches. You can see there is a lot of variation. Check it out to see who gets the prizes for most and least.

The average winds at the Palmira Arriba station were 1.07 mph and generally from the NE.  Our maximum wind gust was 19.3 mph.  This was the lowest monthly average winds for the year as expected in the rainy season. Average temperature was 67.45  degrees F.  The Highest temperature was 83.3 degrees F.  Lowest temperature was 59.4 degrees F.  You can check all of our (Palmira Station) previous data for the months of August over the years at this link.

The latest ENSO Cycle Report is saying that "ENSO-neutral is present. Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are near-to-below average across most of the Pacific Ocean. A transition from ENSO-neutral to La Niña is likely in the next couple of months, with a 71% chance of La Niña during October - December 2025. Thereafter, La Niña is favored but chances decrease to 54% in December 2025 - February 2026.."

Here is a link to a source to better understand El Niño in case you need some help interpreting what this all means. Give this a read and you will learn a lot about this important weather phenomenon that affects global weather. It has more effect upon the Northern Latitudes than it has upon us here in the tropics.  

The IRI (International Research Institute for Climate and Society) (select South America from the Region menu) is predicting a dry season with a 45% probability of Above Normal rain for parts of Panama during the months of October - November - December of 2025 (mostly Light Green).

October 2025

IMHPA (Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá) documents section predicts that during October  "...Rainfall values ​​are expected to be above normal in the provinces of Chiriquí, the Ngäbe Buglé region, central and southern Veraguas, Los Santos, Herrera, Coclé, and Western Panama. For the rest of the country, rainfall is expected to be within normal monthly values."  You can read their entire report and check out the details in the "documents" section at this link.

We just returned from a 24 day trip and adventure in Florence, Italy. We had good weather with generally clear skies and only one day with some light precipitation.  We had a good time and of course didn't miss the heavy rains and flash flooding earlier this month (October). At the end of this month I will try to get the report out on time and will make comments about the October floods and the causes. 

Like I have said many times over the years writing this report, October is often the rainiest month of the Rainy Season. It certainly started that way this month. By the end of the month we will know if October keeps its promise and doesn't disappoint.

Just in case October comes through, keep those umbrellas handy, well oiled and prepared for heavy action.

 

Lloyd Cripe

lcripe@boqueteweather.com

 


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